Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.604442 4.963518 5.351188 5.803318 6.319351 6.893856 7.587355
2025-07-27 4.113578 4.620297 5.205691 5.942199 6.859350 7.985692 9.510324
2025-08-03 3.753773 4.329057 5.023929 5.945032 7.166891 8.785245 11.194125
2025-08-10 3.439468 4.039850 4.788110 5.818309 7.251592 9.266708 12.514872
2025-08-17 3.177583 3.784132 4.558361 5.656351 7.243628 9.589168 13.643861
2025-08-24 2.989354 3.603637 4.404616 5.571538 7.319795 10.030076 15.058165
2025-08-31 2.878180 3.513090 4.359340 5.627581 7.602126 10.831083 17.338687
2025-09-07 2.768972 3.415646 4.293900 5.642914 7.816497 11.550399 19.708200
2025-09-14 2.607539 3.236276 4.099585 5.445115 7.658390 11.578206 20.601405
2025-09-21 2.485260 3.104174 3.963758 5.324207 7.611993 11.800762 22.030118
2025-09-28 2.390868 3.005787 3.869931 5.259631 7.651792 12.191972 24.043232
2025-10-05 2.319320 2.935784 3.812894 5.247641 7.780473 12.783060 26.892878
2025-10-12 2.279778 2.911820 3.826010 5.356054 8.152379 13.996227 32.525159
2025-10-19 2.242813 2.889784 3.840760 5.469040 8.551728 15.390156 40.191324
2025-10-26 2.182599 2.830178 3.793348 5.470640 8.732139 16.314016 47.147427
2025-11-02 2.101710 2.736078 3.686557 5.359437 8.668259 16.599216 51.533092
2025-11-09 2.019585 2.636932 3.567011 5.217150 8.523583 16.638919 54.780878
2025-11-16 1.957272 2.565378 3.488123 5.142522 8.514852 17.060547 61.098993
2025-11-23 1.924712 2.537619 3.478001 5.191844 8.781464 18.362568 76.469231
2025-11-30 1.886910 2.500169 3.449954 5.205332 8.969753 19.496915 94.637863
2025-12-07 1.814694 2.407122 3.326550 5.031126 8.706045 19.093202 96.254695
2025-12-14 1.759112 2.338349 3.240923 4.924415 8.591654 19.177656 104.535594
2025-12-21 1.715961 2.287560 3.183106 4.867349 8.588888 19.652773 120.515847